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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankDavidShekelsainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)45% (547–663, n=1210)68% (387–179, n=566)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$11.0M$169K$4.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373PM monthly #1PM monthly #314was PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (83 of 110 open)74% (25 of 34 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • F1 +21 pts n=92, ROI −12%
  • Soccer +13 pts n=256, ROI +4%
  • MMA +28 pts n=17, ROI +36%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=17—
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%77% of 543 at avg 63¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)10% (won 79% of 58)24% (won 19% of 129)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)36% (won 98% of 200)6% (won 74% of 31)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)35% (won 99% of 194)16% (won 90% of 86)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)19% (won 100% of 107)55% (won 99% of 297)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankDavidShekelsainttroplay
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $22KYes $258—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KYes $5—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.1KYes $45—
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $273Yes $17—