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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 53% (413–363, n=776) | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 47% (13362–14874, n=28236) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $100K | $11.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #608 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 50% (12 of 24 open) | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 68% (112 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | MLB −18 pts, n=23 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 52% of 765 at avg 50¢, ROI +5% | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 15% (won 20% of 113) | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 40% (won 40% of 308) | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 25% (won 60% of 192) | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 20% (won 86% of 152) | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | AlphaBetaGamma2357 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7.3K | No $482K | — |