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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (434–419, n=853)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6618–6146, n=12764)
Consensus PnL—$93K$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #614PM monthly #3PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position56% (10 of 18 open)88% (22 of 25 open)75% (101 of 134 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—MLB −18 pts, n=23—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—49% of 838 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 16% of 141)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 38% of 338)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 59% of 202)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 87% of 157)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBankFlaznorp
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.5KNo $59K—