Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market51% (428–419, n=847)45% (573–710, n=1283)
Consensus PnL—$91K$9.4M
Tracked as—PM monthly #638PM monthly #3
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (15 of 22 open)68% (23 of 34 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—MLB −18 pts, n=23—
Settled positions, side won—48% of 832 at avg 49¢, ROI +3%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%
Entries under 30¢—17% (won 16% of 140)11% (won 80% of 61)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 38% of 335)35% (won 98% of 203)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 59% of 201)35% (won 100% of 201)
Entries 70¢ and up—19% (won 87% of 156)20% (won 100% of 115)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlphaBetaGamma2357BreakTheBank
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.3KNo $88K