PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x59364b4da00da533a7702d1f2fadce1992bb3798beachboy4RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)no settled market69% (43–19, n=62)48% (11763–12551, n=24314)45% (501–606, n=1107)
Consensus PnL—$5.8M$13.4M$12.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #835was PM monthly #24Hand-pickedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)63% (33 of 52 open)73% (30 of 41 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2463)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5333)35% (won 98% of 181)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 52% of 114)36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 99% of 176)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7366)20% (won 100% of 105)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x59364b4da00da533a7702d1f2fadce1992bb3798beachboy4RN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Celtics (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
——Nets $440Celtics $117
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $745Lakers $293
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
——Lakers $233Lakers $707