PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x498d2...BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)71% (5–2, n=7)45% (502–616, n=1118)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (13408–13562, n=26970)
Consensus PnL$1.2K$11.1M$3.5M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #978PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #13
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)69% (27 of 39 open)no open consensus position51% (28 of 55 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won67% of 6 at avg 61¢, ROI +12%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10208 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢0%10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 58% of 840)
Entries 30–50¢33% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 98% of 181)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2168)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 0% of 2)34% (won 99% of 176)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 3916)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 2)20% (won 100% of 105)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3284)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x498d2...BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $21K—No $5.5K