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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188keeptheblueflagflyinghighlolziknigiri99
Record (consensus markets)56% (10–8, n=18)48% (483–517, n=1000)64% (14–8, n=22)55% (372–304, n=676)
Consensus PnL$792K$455K$12K$436K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #21was PM monthly #990PM monthly #89
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position58% (11 of 19 open)no open consensus position50% (36 of 72 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
  • NHL +21 pts n=68, ROI +6%
  • NBA +11 pts n=259, ROI +11%
  • Soccer +14 pts n=53, ROI +28%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 10 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%100% of 301 at avg 51¢, ROI +44%—66% of 520 at avg 53¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 19)—14% (won 33% of 73)
Entries 30–50¢40% (won 100% of 4)37% (won 100% of 110)—24% (won 56% of 125)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 6)50% (won 100% of 150)—43% (won 69% of 226)
Entries 70¢ and up0%7% (won 100% of 22)—18% (won 98% of 96)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188keeptheblueflagflyinghighlolziknigiri99
Kraken vs. Hurricanes
opposite sides · consensus Hurricanes
—Hurricanes $33K—Kraken $57
Spread: Houston (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $3.6K—Houston $547
Spread: Houston (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Houston
—Colorado $871—Houston $3.0K
Nebraska vs. Rutgers: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.4K—Under $202
Spread: Houston (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colorado
—Houston $31—Houston $4.4K