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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | Forecastication2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4–4, n=8) | 47% (68–76, n=144) | 54% (268–231, n=499) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | $355K | -$28K | $278K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | was PM monthly #893 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #28 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 18% (2 of 11 open) | 73% (49 of 67 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50% | — | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | — | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 100% of 1) | — | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 75% (won 100% of 3) | — | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | — | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | Forecastication2 | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predators vs. Ducks opposite sides · consensus Predators | Predators $142K | — | Ducks $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards | — | Pistons $6.2K | Wizards $1.7K | — |
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears opposite sides · consensus USC Trojans | — | California Golden Bears $7 | USC Trojans $6.4K | — |
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $6 | Under $1.6K | — |
| USC Trojans vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 160.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $280 | Under $930 | — |
| Pistons vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Pistons | — | Wizards $1 | Pistons $1.1K | — |
| Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5) same side · consensus Holy Cross Crusaders | — | Furman Paladins $2 | Furman Paladins $452 | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-10.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | Raptors $3 | Raptors $343 | — |