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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
lottajizzBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)29% (2–5, n=7)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)63% (1095–632, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$30K$7.7M$4.1M$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #727PM monthly #1PM monthly #9PM monthly #114
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (46 of 60 open)73% (132 of 181 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won100% of 2 at avg 28¢, ROI +72%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢0%36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢0%35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up0%20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketlottajizzBreakTheBankFlaznorpndb1
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $151K76ers $715—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $421K—No $346K
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—No $339KNo $113K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $306K—Yes $12K
Cowboys vs. Colts
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Colts $49KColts $63—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $21KBulls $1.4K—