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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)no settled market
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #51PM monthly #29 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus71% (10 of 14 open)67% (2 of 3 open)60% (103 of 171 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465primmRN1sainttroplay
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $365—Under $482—
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
Arthur Fils $2.4K—Arthur Fils $11K—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $6.7K—Raptors $246—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $248—Under $371—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $194—Over $81—