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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | puggius-maximus-ii | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4542–3331, n=7873) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | no settled market | 47% (14227–15735, n=29962) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $4.8M | — | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #98 | — | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (20 of 37 open) | 73% (56 of 77 open) | no open consensus position | 57% (88 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | — | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | — | 10% (won 57% of 2588) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | — | 22% (won 94% of 5673) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | — | 35% (won 99% of 9163) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | — | 33% (won 100% of 8536) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ndb1 | puggius-maximus-ii | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Raptors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Bucks $265 | — | — | Raptors $38 |
| Spread: Raptors (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $11 | — | — | Raptors $190 |
| Spread: Thunder (-4.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Grizzlies $12K | — | — | Grizzlies $101 |
| Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $514 | — | — | Under $12 |
| Spread: East Carolina (-4.5) same side · consensus South Florida | South Florida $24 | — | — | South Florida $113 |