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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | machbut | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 73% (16–6, n=22) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $14K | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #133 | was PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 62% (133 of 216 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 71% of 31 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 10% (won 0% of 3) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 16% (won 40% of 5) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 16% (won 60% of 5) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 58% (won 94% of 18) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
6 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | machbut | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $365 | — | — | Under $889 |
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $486 | — | — | Central Michigan $11K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $11K | — | — | Central Michigan $476 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.9K | — | — | Raptors $278 |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | No $2.3K | — | — | No $1.5K |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | — | Under $382 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | — | Over $28 |