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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | livesportins | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 56% (9–7, n=16) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$2.5K | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | was PM monthly #982 | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 61% (110 of 181 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 69% (won 55% of 11) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 25% (won 75% of 4) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 0% | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | livesportins | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | — | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.7K | — | — | Raptors $246 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | — | Under $371 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | — | Over $84 |