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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | strider- | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4512–3287, n=7799) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 65% (901–484, n=1385) | 88% (72–10, n=82) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $5.3M | $4.4M | $45K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #100 | PM monthly #780 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (107 of 152 open) | 100% (3 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 15% (won 25% of 12) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 7% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 11% (won 78% of 9) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 67% (won 100% of 54) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | strider- |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $56 | — | — | Yes $20K |