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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4473–3354, n=7827) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 65% (888–469, n=1357) | 50% (15072–15093, n=30165) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $5.6M | $4.2M | $3.0M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #148 | PM monthly #56 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (12 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 55% (105 of 191 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | No $74K | — | — | Yes $508 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini | Matteo Berrettini $22K | — | — | Ugo Humbert $901 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $14K | — | — | Yes $18 |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $11K | — | — | Yes $5 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Alex Michelsen $3.9K | — | — | Carlos Alcaraz $24 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $45K | — | — | Yes $2.1K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff same side · consensus Thiago Agustin Tirante | Jan-Lennard Struff $1.8K | — | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $979 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $372 | — | — | Yes $1.8K |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $357 | — | — | Over $109 |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus Yes | No $318 | — | — | No $11 |