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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677TheWindKnowsmyNameUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)57% (4516–3391, n=7907)45% (10–12, n=22)69% (182–82, n=264)50% (20465–20314, n=40779)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M-$96K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #70PM monthly #2was PM monthly #953PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus75% (15 of 20 open)no open consensus position57% (242 of 426 open)68% (42 of 62 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%88% of 177 at avg 68¢, ROI +27%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)12% (won 33% of 21)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)14% (won 84% of 25)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)12% (won 90% of 21)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)62% (won 99% of 110)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677TheWindKnowsmyNameUpTheBlues
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $51K—No $1.3K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $15K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $117—Yes $2.8K—