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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4536–3326, n=7862) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) | 93% (107–8, n=115) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $5.3M | $14.8M | $117K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | PM monthly #565 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (14 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | 59% (47 of 79 open) | 100% (5 of 5 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | Geopolitics −1 pts, n=40 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 112 at avg 94¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 99% (won 98% of 111) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | SAPolitcsSeer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz | Carlos Alcaraz $143K | — | Taylor Fritz $2.1K | — |
| Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.8K | — | No $2.7K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $53K | — | — | Yes $11K |