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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677KnightDasCapitalRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (5297–5255, n=10552)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$5.3M$94K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #2was PM monthly #1000PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position65% (98 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Soccer ±0 pts, n=5591—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%52% of 6810 at avg 52¢, ROI +1%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)17% (won 19% of 1143)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)29% (won 41% of 2005)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)30% (won 59% of 2049)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)24% (won 80% of 1613)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677KnightDasCapitalRN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23K——No $19K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12K——Under $6
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $5.6K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.6K——Under $8
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $321——Yes $18
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96K——No $27K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43K——No $20K
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K——Yes $41K
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311——No $876
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43——No $166
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25——PFK CSKA Sofia $43