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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | Hashbrown | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (36–36, n=72) | 40% (2–3, n=5) | no settled market | 68% (304–140, n=444) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $391K | $0 | -$54K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #35 | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #317 | PM monthly #34 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | Geopolitics −4 pts, n=48 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30% | 88% of 278 at avg 89¢, ROI +3% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 4% (won 0% of 10) | 1% (won 100% of 3) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 70% of 10) | 0% | 26% (won 100% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 76% (won 85% of 41) | 3% (won 75% of 8) | 40% (won 100% of 95) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 6% (won 100% of 3) | 94% (won 92% of 260) | 33% (won 100% of 80) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | googleplay | Hashbrown | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Menelaos Efstathiou opposite sides · consensus Felix Gill | Menelaos Efstathiou $2 | — | — | Felix Gill $4.1K |