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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465googleplayHAN88888primm
Record (consensus markets)46% (41–49, n=90)40% (2–3, n=5)no settled market62% (13–8, n=21)
Consensus PnL-$451K$391K—-$16K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #18PM monthly #490PM monthly #66
Sides with the consensus60% (12 of 20 open)33% (1 of 3 open)no open consensus position69% (11 of 16 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=11, ROI +48%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%100% of 10 at avg 88¢, ROI +9%100% of 11 at avg 49¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)0%0%9% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 70% of 10)0%27% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)76% (won 85% of 41)0%64% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)6% (won 100% of 3)100% (won 100% of 10)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465googleplayHAN88888primm
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $127KKings $44K——
Ohio vs. Miami (OH)
opposite sides · consensus Ohio
Miami (OH) $17K——Ohio $9.5K
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $8.6KTrail Blazers $52K——