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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026ndb1strider-
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3290, n=7808)35% (3645–6671, n=10316)63% (988–572, n=1560)88% (72–10, n=82)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.0M$3.2M$45K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #478PM monthly #104PM monthly #786
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)69% (11 of 16 open)75% (100 of 133 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—NFL −9 pts, n=139Geopolitics −1 pts, n=28
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%83% of 81 at avg 74¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—13% (won 15% of 168)15% (won 25% of 12)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—20% (won 39% of 256)7% (won 50% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—24% (won 58% of 314)11% (won 78% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—43% (won 93% of 550)67% (won 100% of 54)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026ndb1strider-
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $56——Yes $20K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $154——