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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026livesportinsRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)56% (9–7, n=16)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$2.9M-$2.5K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #740was PM monthly #982PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)43% (12 of 28 open)100% (1 of 1 open)55% (44 of 80 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—6% (won 0% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—69% (won 55% of 11)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—25% (won 75% of 4)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—0%33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026livesportinsRN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $43KJaguars $240K—Jaguars $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $26KJaguars $66K—Jaguars $1.5K
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15KRavens $48—Ravens $2.8K
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $4.0K—Florida Atlantic $20K
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $20K—Oilers $686
Spread: James Madison (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus James Madison
—James Madison $12K—Southern Miss $832
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $1.8K——Florida Atlantic $736
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $500——Suns $1.6K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $266——Warriors $510
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3—Under $338
Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Jaguars $6.0K—Jaguars $6.1K
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 44.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $4.8K—Under $3.1K
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $5.5K—Yuta Shimizu $342
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $73—Southern Miss $365