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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026Flaznorplivesportins
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)35% (3641–6645, n=10286)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)56% (9–7, n=16)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$2.9M$3.6M-$2.5K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #740PM monthly #10was PM monthly #982
Sides with the consensus64% (16 of 25 open)43% (12 of 28 open)73% (101 of 139 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%56% of 16 at avg 48¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)6% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—16% (won 40% of 255)69% (won 55% of 11)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—16% (won 62% of 260)25% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—39% (won 94% of 637)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ferrariChampions2026Flaznorplivesportins
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $43KJaguars $240KJaguars $305—
Magic vs. Suns
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $157K—Suns $6.6K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $26KJaguars $65K——
Ducks vs. Oilers
opposite sides · consensus Oilers
—Ducks $20KOilers $402—
Predators vs. Avalanche
opposite sides · consensus Predators
—Avalanche $13KPredators $200—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $499—
UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
—UTSA $4.0KFlorida Atlantic $157—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3Under $492—
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15KRavens $70——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Taipei: Yuta Shimizu vs Omar Jasika
same side · consensus Yuta Shimizu
—Yuta Shimizu $5.5KYuta Shimizu $3.5K—
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $500—Magic $1.3K—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $266—Heat $1.3K—
James Madison vs. Southern Miss
same side · consensus James Madison
—Southern Miss $62Southern Miss $35—