← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | JoeyAroyyOO | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (38–40, n=78) | 100% (2–0, n=2) | 70% (19–8, n=27) | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $245K | $16K | — |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #71 | PM monthly #230 | PM monthly #160 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (6 of 12 open) | no open consensus position | 46% (6 of 13 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
|
|
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=71 |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 100% of 2 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 100% of 48 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 10% of 96) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 50% (won 100% of 24) | 21% (won 35% of 105) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 44% (won 100% of 21) | 27% (won 54% of 132) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 0% | 4% (won 100% of 2) | 33% (won 91% of 163) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | fantasy7788 | JoeyAroyyOO | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $19K | — | Under $18K | — |