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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465esticamosferrariChampions2026RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4536–3326, n=7862)54% (149–126, n=275)35% (3667–6666, n=10333)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$16K$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19was PM monthly #980PM monthly #127PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (14 of 24 open)no open consensus position78% (21 of 27 open)52% (33 of 63 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=460, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2312, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • Soccer +3 pts n=79, ROI −1%
  • MMA +12 pts n=21, ROI +5%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136Tennis ±0 pts, n=146——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%69% of 255 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)18% (won 19% of 47)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1746)9% (won 55% of 22)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2085)15% (won 57% of 37)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2120)58% (won 90% of 149)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465esticamosferrariChampions2026RN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $143K—Taylor Fritz $3.4KTaylor Fritz $1.4K
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
——Francesco Maestrelli $8.5KCarlo Alberto Caniato $297
Charlottesville: Max Hans Rehberg vs Aidan Mayo
opposite sides · consensus Aidan Mayo
——Aidan Mayo $6.2KMax Hans Rehberg $36
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
——Leyre Romero Gormaz $3.6KJulia Riera $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.2KOver $1.6K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
——Celtics $1.9KHornets $116
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $700Under $144
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
——Zsombor Piros $3Zsombor Piros $1.8K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $360
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
——Cavaliers $1.4KCavaliers $108