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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dubdubdub2joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)100% (7–0, n=7)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14165–15679, n=29844)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$405K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #93PM monthly #3PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (17 of 26 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (44 of 79 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%100% of 7 at avg 82¢, ROI +16%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0%12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)0%6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)0%65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)100% (won 100% of 7)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465dubdubdub2joseph00677RN1
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
Ravens $36K——Jaguars $8.2K
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $29K——Jaguars $2.0K
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $4.0K——Florida Atlantic $775
Spread: Jaguars (-8.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $15K——Ravens $636