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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | dcastro222 | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | no settled market | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 50% (19440–19510, n=38950) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | — | $3.6M | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #7 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (21 of 28 open) | no open consensus position | 67% (26 of 39 open) | 60% (65 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 1 at avg 43¢, ROI +57% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 100% (won 100% of 1) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 0% | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | dcastro222 | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | — | Eastern Michigan $417 | — |