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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | classified | RN1 | thirdt1me | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (37–38, n=75) | 100% (1–0, n=1) | 69% (307–141, n=448) | 65% (35–19, n=54) |
| Consensus PnL | -$381K | $2.8K | -$40K | $22K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #36 | PM monthly #336 | PM monthly #34 + pinned | PM monthly #614 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 50% (6 of 12 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 62% (8 of 13 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| not computed yet |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Elections −2 pts, n=101 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 51% of 334 at avg 49¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36% | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 46% (won 4% of 152) | 1% (won 100% of 3) | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 4% (won 47% of 15) | 26% (won 100% of 62) | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 7% (won 78% of 23) | 40% (won 100% of 95) | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 43% (won 98% of 144) | 33% (won 100% of 80) | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | classified | RN1 | thirdt1me |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Miomir Kecmanovic same side · consensus Arthur Rinderknech | Arthur Rinderknech $238 | — | Arthur Rinderknech $28K | Arthur Rinderknech $1.7K |
| Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Benjamin Pietri same side · consensus Adrian Andreev | — | — | Adrian Andreev $27K | Adrian Andreev $3.1K |
| Hersonissos 3: Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Cezar Cretu same side · consensus Cezar Cretu | — | — | Cezar Cretu $7.0K | Cezar Cretu $1.3K |
| Monastir: John Echeverria vs Aziz Ouakaa same side · consensus John Echeverria | — | — | Aziz Ouakaa $505 | Aziz Ouakaa $42 |