Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465chinamaxFlaznorpndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4512–3287, n=7799)41% (62–88, n=150)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)65% (902–484, n=1386)
Consensus PnL$7.8M-$134K$3.3M$4.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #71was PM monthly #983PM monthly #24PM monthly #101
Sides with the consensus77% (17 of 22 open)no open consensus position74% (141 of 191 open)70% (106 of 152 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Crypto +16 pts n=36, ROI −3%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=10, ROI −2%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134MLB ±0 pts, n=45Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%62% of 99 at avg 52¢, ROI −2%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)7% (won 0% of 7)29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)30% (won 43% of 30)16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)52% (won 78% of 51)17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)11% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465chinamaxFlaznorpndb1
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic
same side · consensus Antonia Ruzic
Antonia Ruzic $17K—Antonia Ruzic $26K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Elena Pridankina vs Alexandra Shubladze
same side · consensus Alexandra Shubladze
Alexandra Shubladze $9.2K—Alexandra Shubladze $17K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $13K—Quentin Halys $861—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—Yes $2.6K—