Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ch27erndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4535–3309, n=7844)60% (27–18, n=45)63% (990–573, n=1563)47% (14161–15670, n=29831)
Consensus PnL$8.0M$70K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #19PM monthly #410PM monthly #92PM monthly #32 + pinned
Sides with the consensus64% (14 of 22 open)100% (1 of 1 open)73% (53 of 73 open)62% (36 of 58 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
  • NBA +46 pts n=18, ROI +44%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%96% of 27 at avg 56¢, ROI +42%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)0%13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)15% (won 100% of 4)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)85% (won 96% of 23)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)0%43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465ch27erndb1RN1
Spread: UTSA (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic
UTSA $1.8K——Florida Atlantic $736
Spread: Suns (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $500——Suns $1.7K
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $266——Warriors $510
Heat vs. Warriors
same side · consensus Warriors
Warriors $19KWarriors $75K——