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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4rayvanmechelenRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)no settled market53% (2449–2166, n=4615)47% (14123–15612, n=29735)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$18K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #67—was PM monthly #981PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position63% (45 of 71 open)53% (18 of 34 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Soccer +42 pts n=907, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=19, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—98% of 988 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—2% (won 95% of 22)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—32% (won 98% of 321)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—51% (won 98% of 507)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—14% (won 98% of 138)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4rayvanmechelenRN1
Taranto: Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Martineau
——Adrian Andreev $7Matteo Martineau $2.0K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
opposite sides · consensus Sorana Cirstea
——Sorana Cirstea $10Mary Stoiana $573
Taipei: Coleman Wong vs Chun-Chien Hou
same side · consensus Coleman Wong
——Coleman Wong $10Coleman Wong $10K
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Tiphanie Lemaitre
same side · consensus Justina Mikulskyte
——Tiphanie Lemaitre $5Tiphanie Lemaitre $225