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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | analdesutructor | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 82% (193–43, n=236) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$56K | $9.4M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #607 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 59% (17 of 29 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 196 at avg 61¢, ROI +38% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 6% (won 100% of 11) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 30% (won 97% of 59) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 24% (won 100% of 48) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 40% (won 100% of 78) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | analdesutructor | BreakTheBank | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons opposite sides · consensus Pistons | 76ers $90K | Pistons $3.4K | Pistons $90K | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | — | Grizzlies $218K | — |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder opposite sides · consensus Thunder | Thunder $4.4K | Cavaliers $93 | — | — |
| Hornets vs. Nets opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $429 | Hornets $504 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) same side · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | — | Celtics $880 | — |