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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | a17367162806 | BreakTheBank | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (71–72, n=143) | no settled market | 56% (20–16, n=36) | 43% (3–4, n=7) |
| Consensus PnL | -$253K | — | $822K | $124K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #410 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #109 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (18 of 36 open) | no open consensus position | 44% (7 of 16 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 97% of 64 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47% | 100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 42% (won 93% of 27) | 57% (won 100% of 13) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 44% (won 100% of 28) | 39% (won 100% of 9) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 14% (won 100% of 9) | 4% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | a17367162806 | BreakTheBank | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Lakers (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bucks | Bucks $152 | — | Lakers $2.0K | Bucks $41K |
| UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) opposite sides · consensus Ciryl Gane | Josh Hokit $227K | — | Ciryl Gane $323K | — |
| Spurs vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus Spurs | Bulls $2.5K | — | Spurs $166K | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Magic $87K | — | — | Jazz $28K |
| Nets vs. Pelicans same side · consensus Pelicans | Nets $270 | — | Nets $260K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies same side · consensus Nuggets | Grizzlies $7 | — | Grizzlies $90K | — |