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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | JudgeLance | primm | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (4837–4036, n=8873) | 52% (47–44, n=91) | 49% (1224–1251, n=2475) | 75% (2546–856, n=3402) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.1M | -$49K | $3.6M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #507 | PM monthly #55 | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (12 of 24 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 67% (2 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | NBA −11 pts, n=14 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 63% of 73 at avg 61¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 5% (won 50% of 4) | 41% (won 99% of 421) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 68% (won 56% of 50) | 49% (won 99% of 508) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 25% (won 89% of 18) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.