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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HoshinoAI | ndb1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (142–204, n=346) | 63% (1100–635, n=1735) | 75% (2552–856, n=3408) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | -$1.8K | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #388 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #66 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (10 of 20 open) | 47% (45 of 96 open) | 71% (67 of 95 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Elections −4 pts, n=131 | NFL −7 pts, n=158 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 37% of 339 at avg 40¢, ROI −3% | 66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 54% (won 3% of 182) | 13% (won 14% of 196) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 11% (won 28% of 36) | 18% (won 40% of 283) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 6% (won 70% of 20) | 23% (won 58% of 348) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 30% (won 96% of 101) | 46% (won 94% of 710) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HoshinoAI | ndb1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $16 | Yes $49 | — |