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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | primm | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4537–3326, n=7863) | 39% (3330–5154, n=8484) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | -$469K | $3.6M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #228 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 71% (366 of 512 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Weather −6 pts, n=584 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 36% of 4042 at avg 39¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 56% (won 3% of 2267) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 4% (won 33% of 170) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 4% (won 48% of 166) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 36% (won 89% of 1439) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | primm | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.9K | — | — | No $15K |
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $13K | Yes $106 | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $51 | No $953 | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | No $68 | — | — |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.5K | Yes $103 | — | — |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.1K | Yes $34 | — | — |