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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3295, n=7816) | 40% (3389–5177, n=8566) | 47% (14126–15613, n=29739) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | -$465K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #271 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (6 of 8 open) | 59% (1168 of 1964 open) | 56% (18 of 32 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $116 | Yes $5 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $36 | Yes $13 | — |