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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4535–3309, n=7844) | 39% (3364–5155, n=8519) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.0M | -$465K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #246 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (15 of 22 open) | 67% (479 of 713 open) | no open consensus position | 52% (17 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | Weather −6 pts, n=556 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1% | 39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 53% (won 3% of 2055) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1743) | 4% (won 35% of 170) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2080) | 5% (won 54% of 178) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2114) | 38% (won 89% of 1442) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Haradwaith | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $13K | Yes $254 | — | — |
| Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $868 | No $171 | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $63 | No $946 | — | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $267 | — | — | Warriors $510 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $70 | — | — |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | Yes $195 | — | — |
| Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.2K | Yes $101 | — | — |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) same side · consensus Warriors | Warriors $1.2K | — | — | Warriors $108 |