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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpojgrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)75% (741–246, n=987)89% (59–7, n=66)61% (20–13, n=33)
Consensus PnL-$493K$70K$7.4K$307K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #589PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus17% (1 of 6 open)66% (76 of 116 open)67% (2 of 3 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • NBA +47 pts n=18, ROI +45%
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%92% of 49 at avg 77¢, ROI +1%100% of 22 at avg 54¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)6% (won 0% of 3)5% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 75% of 4)36% (won 100% of 8)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)14% (won 100% of 7)41% (won 100% of 9)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)71% (won 100% of 35)18% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpojgrobloxgamblemaster-2008-10-18
Victoria Women T20I: Namibia Women vs USA Women
opposite sides · consensus Namibia Women
—USA Women $25Namibia Women $75—
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
same side · consensus Tiago Pereira
Kilian Feldbausch $78K—Kilian Feldbausch $425—
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $3.4KBuvaysar Gadamauri $229—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $93Vikings $6——