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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkuwkuwndb1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)78% (7–2, n=9)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$48K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #21PM monthly #472PM monthly #106
Sides with the consensus65% (15 of 23 open)70% (197 of 280 open)no open consensus position74% (82 of 111 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 7 at avg 64¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)0%13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)14% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)43% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 100% of 3)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpkuwkuwndb1
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $60KSport Lisboa e Benfica $20K——
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $8.6KCasper Ruud $4.6K——
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $2.2K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200KYes $31K——
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93KNo $49K——
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44KNo $47K——
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38No $1.6K——
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17PFK CSKA Sofia $1.4K——