Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)50% (1105–1117, n=2222)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #3PM monthly #47
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)83% (25 of 30 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)41% (won 99% of 412)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)50% (won 99% of 503)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankprimm
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $51K—
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $98K—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $72K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K—