← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | Vanchalkenstein | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4537–3326, n=7863) | 45% (576–717, n=1293) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 53% (285–250, n=535) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $7.3M | $3.6M | -$1.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #581 |
| Sides with the consensus | 60% (15 of 25 open) | 88% (22 of 25 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | — | NBA −3 pts, n=123 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7133 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 54% of 580 at avg 49¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 24% of 58) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1746) | 35% (won 98% of 204) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 47% (won 51% of 271) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2085) | 35% (won 100% of 202) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 32% (won 60% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2120) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 11% (won 77% of 64) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | primm | Vanchalkenstein |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $22K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $31 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.4K | No $2.3K | — | — |