Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankpleaseletmealone
Record (consensus markets)54% (4948–4167, n=9115)41% (616–869, n=1485)11% (2–16, n=18)
Consensus PnL$8.5M$8.4M-$4.0K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #1PM monthly #442
Sides with the consensus50% (9 of 18 open)88% (30 of 34 open)80% (93 of 116 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +10 pts n=467, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2316, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1408, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Elections ±0 pts, n=26
Settled positions, side won59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%1% of 73 at avg 3¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)10% (won 82% of 60)99% (won 0% of 72)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 46% of 1753)36% (won 98% of 212)0%
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2092)35% (won 100% of 205)0%
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2125)20% (won 100% of 116)1% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankpleaseletmealone
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $24K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $308KYes $291
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $23No $37K—
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K—
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.4KYes $14
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $868Yes $6
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $273Yes $4
Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $1
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $1
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $1
Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $1
Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $200Yes $1
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $187Yes $1
Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $171Yes $1
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $56Yes $4