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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | peasant | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 62% (146–90, n=236) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $138K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #133 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #521 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (16 of 22 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 50% (2 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Politics −6 pts, n=50 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 258 at avg 57¢, ROI +6% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 21% (won 11% of 54) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 17% (won 37% of 43) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 22% (won 63% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 41% (won 90% of 105) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | peasant |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawks vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Hawks | Wizards $1.1K | Hawks $2.7K | — |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | Pistons $41K | Pistons $204K | — |