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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | NM-P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3300, n=7820) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 83% (5379–1108, n=6487) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $3.2M | $47K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #104 | PM monthly #492 |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (16 of 27 open) | 81% (22 of 27 open) | 72% (68 of 95 open) | 70% (90 of 128 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 4086 at avg 68¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 6% (won 100% of 256) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 100% of 859) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 22% (won 100% of 884) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 51% (won 100% of 2087) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ndb1 | NM-P |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $56K | — | — |
| Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $49 | — | — | No $886 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $2 | Yes $1.0M | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | No $335K | — |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $93K | — | — | No $5.7K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $43K | — | — | No $7.9K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Jan-Lennard Struff $22K | — | — | Jan-Lennard Struff $314 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5.6K | — | — | Over $650 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $49 | — | — | No $892 |
| Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | No $204 | — | — | No $507 |