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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | lopezmartin | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4474–3357, n=7831) | 46% (560–667, n=1227) | 65% (11–6, n=17) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $47K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #344 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #546 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (10 of 14 open) | 55% (11 of 20 open) | no open consensus position | 60% (102 of 171 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 16 at avg 49¢, ROI +40% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 25% (won 25% of 4) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 19% (won 33% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 31% (won 60% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 25% (won 100% of 4) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | lopezmartin | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $365 | — | — | Under $482 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac same side · consensus Arthur Fils | Arthur Fils $2.4K | — | — | Arthur Fils $11K |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.7K | — | — | Raptors $246 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $248 | — | — | Under $371 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $194 | — | — | Over $81 |