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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | locuspm | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (4949–4167, n=9116) | 41% (616–869, n=1485) | 16% (653–3337, n=3990) | 47% (1430–1597, n=3027) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.5M | $8.4M | $55K | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #864 | PM monthly #40 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (10 of 21 open) | 88% (30 of 34 open) | 100% (4 of 4 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=136 | — | NFL ±0 pts, n=76 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7152 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 11% of 1157 at avg 11¢, ROI 0% | 99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1182) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 89% (won 1% of 1029) | 5% (won 95% of 59) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 46% of 1753) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 0% (won 40% of 5) | 40% (won 99% of 512) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2092) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 1% (won 67% of 9) | 50% (won 100% of 633) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2125) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 10% (won 98% of 114) | 5% (won 100% of 65) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | locuspm | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $24K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $23 | No $37K | — | — |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |