← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4521–3295, n=7816) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 54% (13–11, n=24) | 50% (1106–1118, n=2224) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $261K | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #94 | PM monthly #46 |
| Sides with the consensus | 71% (5 of 7 open) | 69% (20 of 29 open) | 67% (39 of 58 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 69% of 13 at avg 44¢, ROI +40% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 20% of 5) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 41% (won 99% of 405) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 23% (won 100% of 3) | 49% (won 99% of 485) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 23% (won 100% of 3) | 5% (won 100% of 46) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | lastminwin | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $76K | No $15K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | No $20K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | — | Yes $26K | — |