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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)45% (573–710, n=1283)45% (10–12, n=22)49% (6382–6570, n=12952)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$7.9M$5.3M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #65PM monthly #3PM monthly #2PM monthly #680
Sides with the consensus69% (18 of 26 open)78% (25 of 32 open)no open consensus position50% (12 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)11% (won 80% of 61)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)35% (won 98% of 203)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 100% of 201)65% (won 73% of 11)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)20% (won 100% of 115)18% (won 67% of 3)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465BreakTheBankjoseph00677youcanbuythisbot
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5KYes $51K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $374
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
Ravens $1.2KRavens $115K——
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus Yes
No $45No $72K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5KNo $2.4K——