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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4520–3295, n=7815) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 55% (311–258, n=569) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $7.9M | $30K | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #67 | PM monthly #3 | was PM monthly #609 | PM monthly #103 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | 62% (18 of 29 open) | 57% (20 of 35 open) | 68% (105 of 154 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Geopolitics ±0 pts, n=86 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 51% of 495 at avg 48¢, ROI +1% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 38% (won 14% of 187) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 51% of 77) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 59% of 79) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 31% (won 91% of 152) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | ifyouloveme | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $90K | Yes $1.5K | — |
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.4K | Yes $78K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $37 | — | No $404 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | Yes $1.0M |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | — | No $407K | — | No $335K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $51K | — | Yes $595 | — |